Superforecaster (AI Research Project)

A leading AI research group is seeking top-tier superforecasters to support a high-impact initiative aimed at strengthening AI systems' long-range prediction and reasoning abilities.

Requirements

• Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions
• Clearly document thought process, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies
• Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts
• Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria
• Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance

Benefits

• Fully remote and asynchronous work environment
• Flexible working hours
• 10–20 hours of work per week
• Independent contractor classification
• Competitive hourly compensation